Modelling Mania

Given more information today about the absolute madness that has infected bureaucrats following Gabrielle.

It likely follows other major events but at least I am in the middle of this one.

We have a system where bad decisions are made and then there are coverups, next we move to prove that steps can be taken to prevent something happening again when it is likely it won't happen again.

Logic goes out the window. Commonsense goes out the window  . Modelling becomes the solution.

Sometimes I wish we did not have computers. They have replaced rational thought and critical thinking.

Our community has been destroyed by a generation of keyboard Kens and Karens.

Peoples lives have been destroyed by measures that stem from cold ,  heartless nonsense  .

There has been an obsession with the idea that because Gabrielle happened it will happen again and be the same in path and magnitude.

This obsession has led to decisions being made off the back of modelling , that results in massive expenditure on infrastructure for no logical reason. It is all kneejerk reaction.

For example I am told of a slipway that is to be built beside a stream that never floods and the property owner where the authorities want to build this slipway, have been told if they don't sell to the council they will take the land under the Public Works Act.

This is outrageous .

It appears millions is being spent on stopbanks that have no purpose.

A cyclone the magnitude of Gabrielle will not happen again in this area and if it does it will be in hundreds of years time.

Trying to predict a path or intensity or impact of a cyclone is fraught with  difficulty and something needs to be done to prevent this irrational focus on fantasy and to bring back experience and commonsense to decision making.